What cognitive tactic is involved when someone believes they will succeed without considering possible challenges?

Overconfidence is a cognitive tactic characterized by an inflated belief in one's abilities or the likelihood of success, often leading individuals to underestimate or completely overlook potential challenges or obstacles. This mindset can create a skewed perception of reality, causing one to assume that favorable outcomes are guaranteed without adequately preparing for setbacks or difficulties that may arise.

In this context, a person exhibiting overconfidence might move forward with a plan or decision while disregarding any risks, which can ultimately lead to negative consequences if challenges do occur. Overconfidence contrasts with rationalization, which involves justifying decisions or beliefs after the fact, and is different from hopefulness, which can acknowledge challenges while still maintaining a positive outlook. Apathy, on the other hand, is characterized by a lack of interest or concern, which does not align with the active belief in inevitable success seen in overconfidence.